Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco: 'Do Vibes Predict Recessions? Evidence From a Big-Data Forecasting Framework'
July 28, 2026
July 28, 2026
SAN FRANCISCO, California, July 28 (TNSLrpt) -- The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco issued the following white paper (No. 2026-14) on July 17, 2026 by Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Yeji Sung and Daniel Wilson entitled "Do Vibes Predict Recessions? Evidence from a Big-Data Forecasting Framework."
Here is the abstract:
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Measures of beliefs, sentiment, and narratives often send recession signals that differ from those in hard data, defined as c . . .
Here is the abstract:
* * *
Measures of beliefs, sentiment, and narratives often send recession signals that differ from those in hard data, defined as c . . .