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CSIS Issues Commentary: If Trump Strikes Iran - Mapping the Oil Disruption Scenarios
February 19, 2026
WASHINGTON, Feb. 19 -- The Center for Strategic and International Studies issued the following commentary on Feb. 18, 2026, by Clayton Seigle, senior fellow and James R. Schlesinger Chair in Energy and Geopolitics:

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If Trump Strikes Iran: Mapping the Oil Disruption Scenarios

Crude oil prices have fluctuated in recent days along with headlines about potential military strikes against Iran, as a second round of indirect talks between U.S. and Iranian rep . . .

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