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Fed: Model Perspectives on Supply and Demand Factors Behind a Soft Labor Market
January 31, 2026
WASHINGTON, Jan. 31 -- The Federal Reserve issued the following Fed Notes article:

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Model Perspectives on Supply and Demand Factors behind a Soft Labor Market

Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and Camilo Morales-Jimenez/1

U.S. employment growth slowed down notably in the second part of 2025, and a key question is how much of the weakness stems from labor demand and how much from labor supply. In this note, we examine this question from the point of v . . .

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