Thursday - December 25, 2025
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland: 'BLS Payroll Revisions: Forecasting Recessions'
December 23, 2025
CLEVELAND, Ohio, Dec. 23 (TNSLrpt) -- The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland issued the following white paper (No. 25-26) on December 18, 2025, by Rory G. Quinlan and Roberto B. Pinheiro entitled "BLS Payroll Revisions: Forecasting Recessions."

Here are excerpts:

* * *

We investigate the behavior of BLS monthly revisions to payroll growth at turning points. We find some evidence corroborating claims by former BLS commissioners and market analysts t . . .

Targeted News Service Document Request Form

This document is available to you by e-mail if you complete the form below with relevant information. There may be a fee for this article or ongoing service of similar materials. We will be in touch shortly.

Name:
What's your
Affiliation		 Government Newspaper / Media Business
Public Policy Individual / Student Educators
Email:
Phone:
Organization, if any:
State/Country you are in:
Additonal questions
or comments:

Click here for more information about our products

Click here for more information about our products