Monday - September 1, 2025
Cleveland Fed economists present estimates of the nominal neutral interest rate from a newly developed model
September 02, 2025
CLEVELAND, Ohio, Sept. 2 -- The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland issued the following news release:

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Cleveland Fed economists present estimates of the nominal neutral interest rate from a newly developed model

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A model developed by a Cleveland Fed economist estimates the medium-run nominal neutral interest rate to be 3.7 percent, based on data through the second quarter of 2025.

"With the nominal federal funds rate cur . . .

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